Most of the profit made from foreign exchange trading comes from identifying currency trends and patterns in forex markets. The objective is to know when a trend is being formed and getting in early on the trade in order to make money when the movement occurs.
As in many things in this world, hindsight gives us 20/20 vision of trends by way of charts. While the currency trends are most apparent in candlestick charts, this information can be seen on other kinds of charts as well.
During a period when prices are on the rise, drawing a line above the low points of candlestick shadows will give the uptrend slope. On the other hand, the downtrend slope can be seen by drawing a line above the high points of the candlestick shadows during a point when prices are going down.
Sometimes, a sideways currency trends exist wherein prices fluctuate up and down in between two points without going through them. At this point, should lines be drawn above and below the shadows, they would be horizontal.
In such cases with a horizontal line, it can be expected that in time, the price will break in either direction. To get on this breakout, traders would enter orders to place trades once the price moves to certain points above or below the horizontal line.
Then there are those traders who utilize the sideways currency trend to identify changes in general price movement. For instance, when the sideways pattern is a generally regular movement going up, this could mean there is resistance to prices going any higher. In this case, the upper line can be considered the resistance line after which a price movement going down would result in prices returning to the trading band acceptable to the market.
You are however, well advised to test these methods prior to integrating them into your system. Using backtests could be of assistance so you could establish if this system is worth pursuing. Then if you feel it is, employ demo accounts and do live market tests before risking real money in the system. Keep in mind the volatility and risks involved in forex trading. Even the very best systems will fail or even encounter a series of losses or a losing run.
Draw trend lines correctly and you can use them as a predictor of breakouts and large price movements. Done this way, they can be as accurate as the other methods available. Be mindful though to maintain your objectivity particularly when evaluating markets in real time.
The reason is that during a time when we are on the lookout for preset conditions that will signal that an order should be placed, it is all too easy to act prematurely. Subjectively, we decide that a trend or pattern has formed when the truth is that it’s still too early in the game to tell. Be aware of this tendency when drawing the lines on the charts to indicate trends. It may lead you to draw what you want to see rather than the real picture.
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